There’s a lot going on in the world right now.

Some are struggling with the market volitility.

Some are struggling with food instability, the need for a paycheck, and how they’ll handle child care.

Others are struggling with what to do about COVID19.

We don’t have a crystal ball, we don’t know the future. My husband recently told me I needed to give him more warning of when we were making infection-related lifestyle changes; my response was our first warning was what had happened around the world, and our second warning was when infection hit our country.

So what have we learned from other countries?

While I was putting the kids to bed last night, I got two articles within 20 minutes of eachother. You know of my work as a biostatistician – these were the two articles that I’ve generically been waiting for, addressing both the non-numeric and the number-heavy fronts.  The numeric of the second article is the first analysis I’ve seen that’s mathematically “felt” right, and you can see how terrifying it is (humans don’t mentally do exponentials well, it’s well known in the biostatistical community).

Emotions – https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/who-gets-hospital-bed/607807/

Numbers – https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

.

My husband likes a different take on the matter, for those of you who would prefer a short webcomic for your context: https://xkcd.com/2278/

I’m happy to talk to people using technological methods, but we are now practicing vigorous social distancing and are avoiding visiting with people in person.

Stay well.